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This blog is mainly for the convenience of archiving my investing thoughts and notes, and sharing with my close kakis. Hope you enjoy and participate in this sharing of notes and comments. Let's profit together from the bull ride as well as from mitigating the bear.

Sunday, June 19, 2011

Defining Bull Market Based on MA250

Bull Market Stages:
Stage 1 - Index crossing and staying above MA250
Stage 2 - MA50 crossing above MA250, called "golden cross"
Stage3 - MA250 moving up, usually the uptrend will maintain quite a long period

Examples:
  • On Feb-6-2006, Shanghai A index closed at 1349 when MA 50 crossed MA250 s (golden cross), the index accumulated a gain of 360% reaching 6429
  • On 1-Jun-2009, the golden cross appeared in Shanghai A and Taiwan market indices (entering Bull Stage 2) while other markets (US, UK, and Asia) still await in Stage 1. On 16-Jun-2009, the golden cross appeared in S'pore STI index, hence also entered Bull Stage 2; around mid-Sep 2009, MA250 started moving up, technically entering Bull Stage 3.
(Source: RBC-IS(Asia), 01-06-2009)

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